OpenAI appears to sit on models longer: internal checkpoints lead releases by months

haider1 · x · 2026-11-07

METR's AECI chart shows frontier benchmark scores accelerating 1.4× after Oct 2025 (+24/yr vs +17/yr), with Anthropic internal models leading public releases by 2–3 months. The author infers OpenAI is also holding models back longer: the astra model was tested internally for 2–3 months before release, 6.1 astra was withheld entirely, and the Navier–Stokes checkpoint for BEL may have been used internally for over two months — with math results from a few weeks ago suggesting a newer internal checkpoint is already in use.

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