METR report questioned: Epoch AI data long showed AI capabilities accelerating

econcallum · x · 2026-11-07

econcallum questions the METR report, noting Epoch AI has already shown AI capabilities accelerating for a long time: per the Epoch Capabilities Index, the frontier has advanced 14 points per year since reasoning models debuted (90% CI 12-17, adj. R²=0.98), versus 6 points per year for non-reasoning models.

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