Preprint: cell transcriptional state can't predict fate, but lineage context can

stats_stephen · x · 2026-11-07

A new preprint led by goklg, njwfish and WilliamNColgan (with Philippe Rigollet, statsstephen, Marinka Zitnik, lukekoblan and others) models mouse embryos as trees via generative modeling rather than single-cell trajectories.

Key finding: a cell's transcriptional state is generally not sufficient to predict its past or future, but conditioning on lineage context (sisters, cousins, etc.) substantially improves prediction.

Related event: MIT team models mouse embryonic development with generative modeling(2 posts)→

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