If AGI is so close, why is everyone leaving? Inside the bets of 45 AI neolabs
The Decoder · rss · 2026-11-06
The Decoder's Frontier Radar #5 explores a paradox: OpenAI talks about the AGI era and Jensen Huang says AGI has arrived, yet co-creators of today's models are leaving OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Meta to found their own labs, raising billions with no product.
- Their core bet: the current recipe alone won't get us to AGI
- The piece sorts 45 neolabs by research bets and maps the limitations of today's AI each is trying to overcome
- Surveys what's already visible from their work
- Explains why Nvidia wins regardless of which route prevails
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