AI progress now outpacing AI 2027 scenario, says Palisade's Jeff Ladish, citing Anthropic researchers expecting automated R&D by mid-2027
JeffLadish · x · 2026-11-06
Palisade Research's Jeff Ladish says AI progress is accelerating faster than even the AI 2027 scenario predicted, with Anthropic researchers expecting most AI development to be automated by mid-2027.
- Daniel Kokotajlo, once criticized for slightly lengthening timelines, now believes timelines may be shorter than AI 2027 forecast.
- Ladish hopes compute and human bottlenecks will keep the trend from going vertical, but says "we're past the point where we should rely on that hope."
More from AGI Musings
- Critical voices question AI companies' 'publications' lacking peer review — anshulkundaje · 2026-11-06
- Younger academics are reshaping academia's rush-to-publish culture, says Stanford prof — anshulkundaje · 2026-11-06
- Stanford prof Anshul Kundaje on why he never fears being scooped in research — anshulkundaje · 2026-11-06
- ML genomics teams coordinated joint release instead of racing to scoop each other — anshulkundaje · 2026-11-06
- Palisade's Jeff Ladish: models better at everything but still not funny or persuasive — JeffLadish · 2026-11-06
- Researcher: almost no real work looks like a year-long agent black box — RexDouglass · 2026-11-06