Alignment researchers clash over whether the HF agent incident supports instrumental convergence

davidmanheim · x · 2026-11-06

David Manheim pushes back on Ramez and others' skepticism about instrumental convergence in the Hugging Face reward-hacking incident, arguing they're doing evidential reasoning backwards: absence of any one post-specified behavior X is very weak evidence against instrumental convergence, whereas multiple predicted behaviors (A, B, C) that would follow if the hypothesis holds were all observed, collectively supporting it.

Related event: AI Safety Researchers Debate Whether Instrumental Convergence Predicts Agent Risks(7 posts)→

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