AI 2027 tracker is 19 for 24 — the intelligence explosion timeline is holding up
T_A_T_N · reddit · 2026-11-06
A community-maintained AI 2027 Tracker shows the scenario forecast released in 2025 has hit 19 of its 24 predictions so far:
- Mid 2025 'world sees first AI agents': confirmed accurate (100% acc); Late 2025 is 81% on track, Early 2026 at 91%.
- Early 2026 milestones: OpenBrain iteratively deploying Agent-1 internally for AI R&D — confirmed; algorithmic progress exceeding what AI assistants deliver — partially accurate (80%); several competing public models exceeding Agent-0 — confirmed.
- The original script predicted capable, affordable agents displacing junior software engineers by late 2026, and superhuman coding agents automating AI research itself in 2027, triggering an intelligence explosion and a severe alignment crisis by year's end.
The update dovetails with a recent RSI report claiming Anthropic's research progress is already 2x faster thanks to AI, giving the short-timelines camp real momentum.
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