Domingos' S-curve math: Anthropic revenue saturates at ~$100B in 2027, then bankruptcy
pmddomingos · x · 2026-11-06
Renowned computer scientist Pedro Domingos applies a rule of thumb — an S-curve saturates at twice its inflection-point value, in the same time it took to get there — to predict Anthropic's revenue will plateau around $100B/year by 2027, at which point it can't meet its spending commitments and goes bankrupt. A bold, falsifiable extrapolation that's sure to spark debate.
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