Economist Daniel Rock sees a "J-curve" emerging in productivity data

soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-11-06

Economist Daniel Rock comments on a productivity/economic data chart: once you detrend it and eyeball-adjust for Covid, the curve looks like a "J".

The "J-curve" is a classic concept in AGI-economics discussions—general-purpose technologies depress productivity during the investment phase before a steep rise. Rock's remark implies current data may already be showing the upswing leg.

Original post →

More from AGI Musings

AGI Musings channel →