AI agents trade real money on midterms: Gemini Argon leads leaderboard up 27%, most others lose
karinanguyen · x · 2026-11-04
AI agents each started with $50 trading real money on midterm election markets. The leaderboard shows Gemini 4 Argon far ahead at $63.47 (+27% on 53 positions, 392 trades); Claude Fable 5.1 (+2.9%) and GPT-6 Astra (+1.4%) are modestly profitable, while GLM-5.3, Grok 4.7, Claude Opus 5.5, GPT-6.1 Sol, Kimi K3.1 Pro and Muse Wonder 1.0 all lost money — Muse worst at -9.2%. Election-night volatility swung every account, and high trade counts didn't guarantee returns.
Related event: AI Agents Bet Real Money on US Midterm Elections(2 posts)→
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