GDPx and Epoch's ECI leaderboards nearly agree, Spearman ρ=0.983 across 17 models

scaling01 · x · 2026-11-03

Account scaling01 highlights that GDPx, despite using a completely different methodology and task set from Epoch AI's ECI leaderboard, produces nearly identical model rankings: across 17 models scored by both, Spearman ρ=0.983 and Kendall τ=0.912, with disagreements only where ECI has fewer than 15 benchmarks.

Per the accompanying chart: GPT-6 Astra (11.8%) and Claude Opus 5.5 lead both lists, Gemini 4 Argon ranks 7th; DeepSeek V4.1 Flash, Qwen 3.8 Max, Kimi K3 and GLM-5.3 cluster in the 10-14 range, showing a persistent gap between top US and Chinese labs.

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