EU worker output lags US on AI adoption, and AI capex could squeeze Europe's finances
_akpiper · x · 2026-11-03
- Citing an FT chart by John Burn-Murdoch: real output per worker has grown more slowly in the EU-27 than in the US, with France and Germany especially worrying, and the gap widening — likely driven by AI adoption in the US
- AI's huge capex points to much higher real interest rates over the next decade; a country with 100% debt-to-GDP going from 2% to 5% financing bears an extra 3% of GDP in budget burden
- Countries that adopt AI massively can digest this; the commenter warns France or Spain risk the worst combination: high real rates from global AI capex plus low growth from internal barriers to adoption
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