Josh Purtell flags high variance risk in eval sets with just ~10 tasks per domain

JoshPurtell · x · 2026-11-02

Josh Purtell argues that optimization pressure imposes demands on training data that evals simply don't face — but that doesn't mean eval work is easy; you have to work harder elsewhere.

Concretely, with only 10 tasks per domain/split, he worries that high-quality tasks at such small dataset sizes may have higher variance and lower bias than ideal, especially given the tasks are created by people whose day job is sourcing training data.

Related event: Ex-evals developer lays out why training data and eval data demand different standards(17 posts)→

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