Eval task design is a bias vs variance tradeoff, argues eval engineer

JoshPurtell · x · 2026-11-02

Continuing his thread on eval task design, Josh Purtell frames the training-vs-eval conflict as a bias-variance problem: variance is good and expected in training, but in evaluation it complicates analysis unless you have huge samples, which bring issues of their own. For evals, you'd generally prefer biased, low-variance results.

Related event: Josh Purtell: Training data and eval data need separate rigor standards(13 posts)→

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