Polymarket prices only 10% odds of an AI bubble burst by end of 2026, $3.1M volume

Polymarket · x · 2026-11-01

Polymarket's "AI bubble burst" prediction market currently prices only 10% odds (Yes at 9.9¢) that the AI bubble bursts by December 31, 2026, with $3.16M in volume on that market; odds rise to 23% for a burst by June 30, 2027 ($46K volume).

The post quotes a claim that Cisco's Chief Product Officer gave a Gen Z engineer unlimited AI tokens to vibecode a rewrite of 98% of the company's legacy code within two years — cited as a sign of the current AI fervor. Despite the hype, prediction-market money doesn't see a near-term bubble burst.

Related event: Cisco CPO wants AI to rewrite 98% of legacy code; market prices low AI-bubble risk(2 posts)→

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