GPT-6.1 Terra ranks #14 on Toloka Arena as pass^5 falls to 59% from ~72%

MParakhin · x · 2026-11-01

Toloka AI Arena's agentic leaderboard (τ-bench-style simulated customer-service tasks with live databases and strict business rules) uses pass^5 — the probability all 5 independent trials succeed. OpenAI's latest GPT-6.1 Terra lands #14 of 34 at 59.0 pass^5, down from 72% single-run, revealing inconsistency: it reaches the right outcome but skips or reorders required steps — fine in demos, failing audits. Former Microsoft AI chief Mikhail Parakhin adds practical advice: larger models and higher reasoning effort are more consistent at higher cost, and he runs 4x critics in a critique loop to lower bad misses.

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