Follow-up: nobody can predict how intelligence shows up in the economy
trq212 · x · 2026-10-31
Continuing his thread, the author argues that basically everyone is bad at predicting how more intelligence will actually show up in the economy, and that the simplest answer — "it'll cost a lot and unemploy everyone" — is itself not very AGI-pilled. We should avoid hyperstitioning that outcome into reality.
This is the follow-up to his claim that the solution to economic doomerism is believing more strongly in a well-aligned ASI.
Related event: AI researcher argues embracing AGI is the cure for economic doom(2 posts)→
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