ChatGPT May Make This Humanity's Most Important Decade, as Capital Fuels Gargantuan Training Runs
abhiadesai · x · 2026-10-29
Inspired by Holden Karnofsky's graph from "The Most Important Century," the author argues ChatGPT's arrival may mark the most important decade in human history. The chart compresses three timescales—from first life 3.3 billion years ago to the post-1803 explosion—and projects that by 2093 a training run could perform as many computations as all of evolution, with a human-brain-sized model on max-difficulty tasks possible by 2061. Capital is now marshalled for truly gargantuan training runs.
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