KV cache per token shrank 437x in 3 years — why this dev thinks AI gets cheaper

gnukeith · x · 2026-10-29

Sharing a chart of global KV cache bytes per token, gnukeith argues AI will become significantly cheaper and more capable over time rather than more expensive: DeepSeek-V1 (Nov 2023) used 389,120 bytes/token, V3.2 cut it 8.1x to 48,068, V4-Flash another 13.7x to 3,514, and V4.1-Flash (Sep 2026) just 890 bytes — roughly a 437x reduction in three years, steadily collapsing the memory and cost curve of long-context inference.

Related event: DeepSeek quantization praised as KV cache shrinks 437x in three years(2 posts)→

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