davidad: lead poisoning may explain the 1971–2012 Great Stagnation, checked with GPT-4
davidad · x · 2026-10-29
AI safety researcher davidad confirms that with GPT-4 Code Interpreter it finally became worthwhile for him to run the numbers on the lead-poisoning theory — that the 1971–2012 technological stagnation stems from environmental cognitive impairment of the grad student and postdoc population — and the check holds up. He notes it's tangential to the current discussion.
More from AGI Musings
- Robert Wright Discusses His AI Book 'The God Test' on Thompson's Podcast — wfithian · 2026-10-29
- Prediction: model version numbers will disappear as models evolve seamlessly — stochasticchasm · 2026-10-29
- Bull thesis: AI and robots will do over 90% of economically productive work within decades — DeryaTR_ · 2026-10-29
- IABIED skeptic: the book's arguments don't support its confidence — we landed on the moon first try — EigenGender · 2026-10-29
- tszzl: the 'infinite mediocre people' mental model of AI is wrong — deanwball · 2026-10-29
- Harvard experiment finds AI reviews dominate human peer reviews — RexDouglass · 2026-10-29