Reported Gemini 4 Carbon launch tops AQI at 59; Polymarket gives Google 97.5% odds for best October model

vedantmisra · x · 2026-10-29

A post quoting Sundar Pichai announces Gemini 4 Carbon, the follow-up frontier model to Argon released two weeks prior (unverified). Claimed results: #1 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v5.0 at 59; leads cybersecurity evals with 88.2% on SEC-bench Pro (vuln finding), 54.8% on ExploitGym, 71.0% on CWE-bench (patching); significant long-horizon gains over Argon plus strengthened frontier safeguards, with gradual rollout.

Attached screenshot: Polymarket's "best AI model end of October" market at 97.5% Google vs 1.8% Anthropic, $3.85M volume.

Related event: Google Launches Gemini 4 Carbon, Topping Artificial Analysis Rankings(89 posts)→

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