ARC team: v1 hits ceiling effect as v2 extends headroom for frontier models

MindsAI_Jack · x · 2026-10-29

In an ARC discussion, MindsAIJack notes ARC v1 is hitting a ceiling effect, and frontier models may be nearing it on v2/v3. Greg Kamradt responds that plotting v1 vs v2 scores shows smooth progression, v2 extended the original ARC-AGI format's usefulness at higher model levels, and that with existing data they could infer a difficulty per task — potentially enabling a v2.5 to push the format further (no plans currently).

Related event: ARC Prize Finds Power Law: V2 Scores 98% Predictable from V1(3 posts)→

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