Polymarket puts 21% odds on Anthropic bankruptcy by 2030 despite IPO filing showing near-record cash pile
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-29
Polymarket launched a market giving Anthropic a 21% chance of announcing bankruptcy before 2030.
A follow-up notes that Anthropic's IPO filing reveals the company holds more cash than nearly every non-bank U.S. company except Berkshire Hathaway and Alphabet — a stark contrast between its balance sheet and the market's perceived risk.
Related event: Anthropic IPO Filing Reveals $131.7B Cash Reserve(5 posts)→
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