Does VGGT Know What It Does Not Know? Frozen-feature probe hits 93.5% AUC

kwangmoo_yi · x · 2026-10-28

arXiv paper 2610.35806 asks whether feed-forward 3D reconstruction model VGGT implicitly knows when its camera poses are wrong. On HardMatch — 1,000 deliberately difficult image pairs where VGGT fails on 35% — a linear probe on frozen features predicts pose failure at 93.5% ROC-AUC, beating VGGT's own point-map confidence (79.7%) and a classifier on all outputs (77.7%). The probe catches failures VGGT is confident about, enables downstream abstention, and transfers without retraining to rotation failures on PhotoTourism and ScanNet-1500. The signal arises partway through the layers fusing the two views and holds for π³ as well.

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