Chris Albon's thought experiment: how would AI history differ if another community found scaling?

chrisalbon · x · 2026-10-28

Chris Albon shares a thought experiment he finds increasingly useful: the discovery that scaling transformers yields dramatic capability gains came from a specific community (LessWrong/EA-adjacent) with particular values — but it didn't have to.

It could equally have been discovered by a military/defense/natsec community or a Wall Street finance community, each imprinting its own values on AI's trajectory. He invites readers to imagine how the past few years would have unfolded under a different discoverer, noting the framing is a simplification but directionally correct.

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