Shane Legg reaffirms AGI timeline: 'a bit more than a decade' away
soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-10-27
Quoting Ethan Mollick's note that a small group accurately predicted today's AI landscape a decade ago, Daniel Rock relays DeepMind co-founder Shane Legg's assessment: AGI is 'a bit more than a decade' away — consistent with Legg's long-standing forecast of roughly 50% odds by 2028.
More from AGI Musings
- Single-context Fable 5.1 tracks math proofs and predicts which fragile conjectures fall next — repligate · 2026-10-27
- Why understanding minds needs a 'developmental turn' — and what it means for AI — AnnaCiaunica · 2026-10-27
- eLife study: LLMs poorly capture how word order shapes sentence meaning in the human brain — AnnaCiaunica · 2026-10-27
- Lean–text proof mismatch means AI math claims need long human verification — srchvrs · 2026-10-27
- Why the exponential time hypothesis matters for AI reasoning complexity — srchvrs · 2026-10-27
- Prediction: China will transform AI safety and interpretability research like it did capabilities — teortaxesTex · 2026-10-27