Researcher corrects 'Uncheatable forecast': admits flop-uncontrolled compute estimate

dlwh · x · 2026-10-27

Researcher dlwh publicly corrects his earlier "Uncheatable forecast" analysis, admitting the compute estimate wasn't properly flop-controlled and that he hadn't carefully checked its asymptote before posting. He calls it an easy fix and shares revised details, offering a useful caution about flop-accounting pitfalls in scaling-law forecasting.

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