AI researchers guessed robots wouldn't outrun humans until 2034 — it already happened
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-10-26
benjtodd contrasts forecasts with reality: in Dec 2024, AI researchers' median guess for a bipedal robot beating the fastest human over 5km was 2034. Yet in April 2026 a humanoid broke the human half marathon record (averaging 12:00 per 5km vs the 12:35 human record), and in August 2026 another ran 100m faster than Usain Bolt.
Related event: Ben Todd: AI Wasn't Overhyped—Almost Everyone Underestimated It(5 posts)→
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