Fortnow asks when algorithmic results are plausibly optimal, from Metric TSP to matrix mult

fortnow · x · 2026-10-26

Complexity theorist Lance Fortnow writes on when a result is plausibly optimal. Metric TSP's 1.5-approximation (Christofides/Serdyukov, 1976) was long assumed optimal, with attempts to tie improvements to P=NP — until Karlin, Klein, Gharan and Oveis proved a 1.5−1/10^36 approximation in 2020; Klein conjectures 4/3 is the real bound. He contrasts this with matrix multiplication's exponent ω, noting definitional subtleties (a least exponent may not exist) and the contrast between "pretty" and "ugly" runtimes. The lesson: a number being "pretty" is no evidence of optimality.

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