citrini: AI will speed up medicine, but expecting an Alzheimer's cure in 2 years ignores irreducible steps
citrini · x · 2026-10-25
In a widely shared thread, citrini highlights a pronounced divide between the "AI side" (believers in scaling laws and the bitter lesson) and the "biology side" on whether AI can drive novel medical discoveries.
He is confident AI will sharply accelerate data gathering, measurement, and automation — cutting the time it takes medicine to cure diseases. But he warns that extrapolating AI's impact onto irreducible parts of the process overweights the technology and leads to disappointment, which is exactly what predictions like "a cure for Alzheimer's in 2 years" get wrong.
Related event: Investor citrini Analyzes the AI-Biology Divide in Drug Discovery(2 posts)→
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