How much does Chinese AI progress depend on US frontier labs via distillation?
jessi_cata · x · 2026-10-25
Forecaster jessicata poses a key question: how much is non-US (especially Chinese) AI progress dependent on US frontier labs, e.g. via distillation — and if US labs stopped advancing, how much would China's rate slow, assuming no Chinese policy change?
Related event: Forecasters debate how much China's AI progress depends on US frontier labs(2 posts)→
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