Ofir Press: Human SWE Demand Stable, 20 Years Until AI Replaces Them
peterjliu · x · 2026-10-25
Ofir Press argues the SWE job has changed substantially — most engineers no longer write code — but demand for human SWEs remains stable or growing, and he estimates it will take about 20 years until humans aren't SWEs anymore. Peter Liu replied he can't even predict 3 months out.
Related event: Researcher: SWE Jobs Have Changed but Demand Persists for 20 More Years(4 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- Labs will dominate most verticals: open-source quality is just a lagging distillation indicator — abhiadesai · 2026-10-25
- Burny on intelligence: torn between Chollet, Legg and Pei Wang, empiricist on reality — burny_tech · 2026-10-25
- Do new scientific paradigms create new language games? (almost surely, yes) — fkasummer · 2026-10-25
- Quadratic fit of ECI capability scores suggests AI progress is decelerating, peaking around 2029 — quadriphasic · 2026-10-25
- Joscha Bach lecture: What would it mean for a machine to be conscious? — burny_tech · 2026-10-25
- AI animation flood incoming: Three.js slop now, Claude's telltale editing sounds — ChrisGPT · 2026-10-25