Anthropic staff bet on Nobel-level AI breakthroughs by 2030; skeptical Wall Street faces IPO test

Miles_Brundage · x · 2026-10-24

Per The Information, Anthropic employees overwhelmingly believe AI will deliver Nobel Prize-level breakthroughs by 2030, while Wall Street is far less convinced — a confidence gap setting up a crucial test for Dario Amodei as the company prepares to go public next month. Former OpenAI policy lead Miles Brundage shared the story with a curt "Well Wall Street is dumb."

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