SpaceX on track to pass Estonia's GDP next year, targeting $500B-$1T run rate by 2027

JOBhakdi · x · 2026-10-24

Brett Krieger analyzes SpaceX's revenue trajectory: on current trends it passes Estonia's GDP next year, Sweden the year after, and approaches Germany and the UK around 2035 (revenue vs GDP aren't the same measure, but the scale is the point).

Near-term path: 3 GW of compute and a revenue run rate above $100B by December (SpaceX's own target); management is aiming for a $500B–$1T run rate by end of 2027. The author is more conservative yet still calls the number enormous, and keeps adding to $SPCX.

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