Irving: AI safety sits between slapdash empirics and cryptographic proofs

geoffreyirving · x · 2026-10-23

Geoffrey Irving argues system safety arguments are more rigorous than AI labs' slapdash empirics but far weaker than conditional security proofs in cryptography. We might get lucky with empirics alone, or only proofs may suffice—but we shouldn't bet on it: slightly wrong training schemes could let AIs use full adversarial capabilities to break weak defenses like tissue paper.

Related event: DeepMind researcher says AI safety is still crude empiricism, far from rigorous standards(4 posts)→

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