Fireworks trains Meta's Muse Glimmer on Kalshi outcomes: +11.2pp accuracy over Jev
sophiamyang · x · 2026-10-22
Fireworks AI fine-tuned Meta's Muse Glimmer on Kalshi prediction-market outcomes: one pass put it 11.2 percentage points ahead of Jev in prediction accuracy, with a backtest return of +7.1% versus Jev's −8.1% — using hypothetical money. The SFT recipe is public and free to run through Nov 30. Numbers are self-reported and no paper accompanies the experiment.
Related event: Fireworks Offers Free Muse Glimmer 30B Fine-tuning for Kalshi Prediction(3 posts)→
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