30B tokens of data shows completion rates rise with task difficulty, not fall

Hamza_StrategizeLabs · reddit · 2026-10-22

Analyzing 600 substantial jobs and 30B tokens of activity, a platform found completion rates rise with difficulty: simple tasks land in the high 80s, while the most complex, highest-token jobs hit 98-100%. Addressing selection bias, the author notes abandonments cluster in low-stakes, vaguely specified, low-token requests—trivial tasks lack clear success conditions, so there is no success. Another surprise: across 1,900 deliverable sessions, 64.5% of output was kept with zero edits. Implication: testing AI on small tasks first evaluates it where your process is least defined; better to hand it a real, well-scoped job with human sign-off and judge against an existing standard.

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