StockBench sim: open-source models sweep top spots, GPT-5 loses to buy-and-hold

PtrPomorski · x · 2026-10-22

A chart from the StockBench paper (arXiv 2510.02209) ranks LLMs on simulated trading of 20 Dow stocks (March–July 2025, one decision/day): Qwen3-235B-Think leads at +2.5%, with GLM-4.5 (+2.3%) and Claude-4-Sonnet (+2.2%) close behind. Buy-and-hold returned +0.4%, beating GPT-5 (+0.3%), while GPT-OSS-20B lost -2.8%. Open-source models swept the top spots in this single-window simulation.

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