Polymarket Puts 62% Odds on DeepSeek IPO by End of Next Year Amid Reported $15B Raise
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-22
Polymarket traders now give a 62% chance that DeepSeek IPOs by the end of next year, with the reported-but-unconfirmed news of a $15B raise fueling sentiment.
Key drivers per the market page: DeepSeek engaged CITIC Securities in September 2026 for a Shanghai STAR Market listing, with a pre-IPO round targeting 80-100B yuan at a 500B yuan valuation. Tencent and CATL have committed heavily, with a potential filing by end-2026 and listing in early 2027. The company also shipped the faster open-weight V4.1-Flash-1017 model on Oct 17, while rivals like Moonshot AI follow similar timelines.
Related event: DeepSeek Reportedly Raises ~$15B in China's Largest Private Funding Round(7 posts)→
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