Ben Todd counters AGI growth bet: rate swaptions already offer 10-30x leverage
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-10-19
In a public bet over whether AI drives explosive economic growth, Ben Todd argues that 10:1 odds understate what financial markets already imply: a 5yr swaption on the 10yr rate struck at 7% should return roughly 10-30x if rates hit 15%, and he claims even better trades exist.
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