Riemann-bench: frontier models jump from under 5% to over 70% in six months, NS and UGC solved

echen · x · 2026-10-21

Surge AI's Riemann-bench tests whether AI can tackle research-level problems from top mathematicians, beyond Olympiad math. Six months ago models scored under 5%; today they're above 70% (no 10,000-agent stacking allowed), and Navier-Stokes and UGC have been solved. The team's internal betting pool: the Riemann Hypothesis falls within a year, P vs NP last among Millennium Problems. The benchmark is featured in this year's State of AI report, whose slide also shows FrontierMath Tier 4 going from GPT-5's 22% to GPT-6.1 Sol's 100% in fourteen months, with AI supplying nine of 41 unsolved research solutions.

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