Belfer Center publishes pre-mortem paper on first major AI terrorism event with 9 predictions
StephenLCasper · x · 2026-10-20
The Belfer Center paper 'A Pre-mortem on The First Major AI-Enabled Terrorism Event' (published Oct 15, 2026) is authored by Stephen Casper, Max Kamachee, Jordi Weinstock, Antonia Juelich, Jonas Raedler, and Elise Racine. It examines which specific mistakes by frontier AI developers, distributors, and governments across the model lifecycle could enable a major cyber/bio/chemical attack, concluding with 9 falsifiable predictions and two illustrative scenarios. Open-access PDF available.
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