If this AI capability chart is real, a sudden Cambrian explosion may be coming

sytelus · x · 2026-10-20

Responding to a chart on AI's progress in automating R&D/software engineering, sytelus says the trend is unsettling if accurate: the log-scale value likely exists, but we're either failing to cultivate it or facing latency — which could mean a sudden Cambrian explosion. DimitrisPapail, whose plot was cited, argues that once you reach the deep end of the curve, further scaling requires looking beyond automating R&D/SWE to other verticals.

Related event: AI researcher explains why both model capability and market value scale logarithmically(9 posts)→

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