GitHub goes down globally as Polymarket odds hit 21% for another critical incident this month

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-20

Polymarket broke the news that GitHub is currently down. Its related prediction market now puts a 21% chance on a "critical" GitHub incident before month's end, a market drawing attention after two brief write-operation outages on Oct 7 totaling 19 minutes that disrupted Git pushes, PRs, and Actions for over 12,000 organizations.

Related event: GitHub Suffers Another Global Outage as Polymarket Bets on More Failures(2 posts)→

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