FT chart ignites debate: is 20% GDP growth from AI actually plausible?

ChrisGPT · x · 2026-10-19

ChrisGPT mocks Twitter's armchair economists with an FT/Dallas Fed chart: if the US reaches ASI—millions of humanoid robots, a billion autonomous agents, optical processors 100x an H200, near-commercial fusion—double-digit or even 20% GDP growth isn't absurd, and economists at the IMF, Dallas Fed, and Anthropic have seriously discussed it. Quoted @sporadica pushes back: 20% growth wouldn't even be a happy ending—it means everyone outside the labs is a peasant at the whims of "King Dario." The FT chart shows US real GDP per capita trending at 1.9%/year since 1870, with an AI-boosted path of 2.1% for ten years before forking toward "tech singularity: end of scarcity" or "human extinction."

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