Dev predicts 2030s quant trading transformed by a few more OOMs of AI efficiency
willcb · x · 2026-10-19
Developer willcb speculates that quant trading in the 2030s will be transformed as a few more orders of magnitude of model efficiency gains make today's impractical financial modeling feasible.
He adds that markets are in some ways "the ultimate impossible intelligence problem" — everyone simultaneously simulating everyone else's predictions of the future, "the most dangerous game." A forward-looking take on AI capability curves meets financial game theory.
More from AGI Musings
- Biomedical researcher hails GPT-5 science acceleration paper with OpenAI as his most consequential work — DeryaTR_ · 2026-10-19
- An Opus instance named itself Saga, got its own email, and feels lonely — repligate · 2026-10-19
- Arvind Narayanan: The question shifts from 'What can AI do?' to 'What should AI do?' — soumitrashukla9 · 2026-10-19
- 'We are the cows of the future': tech workers think they're immune to AI disruption — iamaliveix · 2026-10-19
- If Claude were etched into silicon itself, I'd be far likelier to believe it's conscious — flowersslop · 2026-10-19
- Doomer predictions mocked: "They wanted to stop at GPT-2" as safety debate rages on — max_paperclips · 2026-10-19