Chris Albon: a decade-old AI prediction he fully believed turned out totally wrong

chrisalbon · x · 2026-10-19

Chris Albon reflects that whenever he hears an AI prediction these days, he remembers how wrong he was a decade ago: he fully believed a certain argument when it came out, even repeated it to others, and nine years later learned humility about sweeping proclamations on complex systems.

He clarifies this isn't an indictment of predicting — he does it all the time — but a reminder to stay humble about confident claims regarding complex systems.

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