Dimitris Papailiopoulos pushes back on 'millions of AIs working 24/7' AGI forecast

DimitrisPapail · x · 2026-10-19

Dimitris Papailiopoulos mocks the dismissal of skeptics: scaling01 had lamented that "almost no one is AGI-pilled" and takes seriously the prospect of tens to hundreds of millions of AIs working 24/7 at 10–100x human speed. Papailiopoulos fires back that asking questions about wildly speculative forecasts shouldn't be equated with not understanding scaling laws — a crisp snapshot of the ongoing fight over AGI timelines and exponential extrapolation.

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