Dean Ball: training classifiers to detect CoT extraction is much harder than you'd think

deanwball · x · 2026-10-18

Pushing back in the discussion on stopping CoT extraction by Chinese labs, Dean Ball argues that training classifiers for this is much harder than expected — the false positive rate is crazy high. This counters eliebakouch's assumption that frontier CoT is easy to classify due to its distribution differing from normal text, suggesting classifier-based interception of distillation-style extraction is unreliable in practice.

Related event: Stolen Thoughts paper sparks debate over distillation and CoT theft(9 posts)→

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