Musk's definition of intelligence: not IQ or degrees, just how accurately you predict the future

TinfoilTricorn · x · 2026-10-18

A retread of Elon Musk's take on intelligence: the only metric is how accurately you predict what happens next — not IQ, degrees, books read, or debating skill.

The author's elaboration: chess grandmasters see 20 moves ahead, great investors see market directions before they arrive, great engineers spot failure points before failure — they're smart because reality keeps confirming their predictions. Likewise, Musk judges AI models not by fluency or impressiveness but by whether they get the future right.

The author's conclusion: by that metric, most of what we call intelligence is just confidence wearing a costume.

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